SAM publishes model probabilities only from a reviewed, checksum-verified artifact that passed its release gates.
Required
Approval
Verified
Artifact
Chronological out-of-sample testing and calibration checks protect against look-ahead bias and misleading backtests.
20 folds
Validation
Gated
Calibration
Fresh multi-book odds are converted into consensus probabilities and compared with approved model output.
5 min
Odds refresh
Best book
Pricing
Every decision is tied to timestamped quotes and features
Stale data and inactive workers block publication
SAM explains opportunities but never places a wager
Challengers earn promotion only when they beat the required baseline and pass every release gate.
Current approved champion release
Evaluated as a nonlinear challenger
Promoted only with sufficient out-of-sample evidence